Combat Edge Intelligence

Erivan Pereira vs Jacobe Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-3-0Record12-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
-Reach72"
172 lbsWeight170 lbs
Five Rounds BrasilTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erivan PereiraNow 1735
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
Jacobe SmithNow 1735
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.89
TBD
Strike accuracy
68%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.78
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
7.78
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Erivan PereiraJacobe Smith
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (30%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
3 (15%)
Submission
1 (8%)
11 (55%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Erivan Pereira and Jacobe Smith within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1735 vs 1735), separated by just 0 points.

Erivan Pereira enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Jacobe Smith enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Erivan Pereira finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Jacobe Smith 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.