Combat Edge Intelligence

Erivan Pereira vs Lyman Good

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lyman Good
us

Lyman Good

“Cyborg”

21-6-0WelterweightUFC

1731Good

Tale of the tape

20-3-0Record21-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
-Reach74,0"
172 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erivan PereiraNow 1735
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
Lyman GoodNow 1731
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.34
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.01
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.27
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
75%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Erivan PereiraLyman Good
17001750201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (30%)
KO/TKO
11 (52%)
3 (15%)
Submission
3 (14%)
11 (55%)
Decision
7 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Erivan Pereira84%
Lyman Good 16%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Erivan Pereira a 84% favorite over Lyman Good in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1735 vs 1731), separated by just 4 points.

Erivan Pereira enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Erivan Pereira finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Lyman Good 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.