Erivan Pereira vs Randy Brown
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Randy Brown70%
Erivan Pereira 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Randy Brown a 70% favorite over Erivan Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Erivan Pereira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1731), separated by just 0 points.
Erivan Pereira enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Randy Brown enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Erivan Pereira finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Randy Brown 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
20-3-0Record20-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
-Reach78"
172 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Erivan PereiraRandy Brown