Erivan Pereira vs Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov53%
Erivan Pereira 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov a 53% favorite over Erivan Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Erivan Pereira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1730), separated by just 1 points.
Erivan Pereira enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Erivan Pereira finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov 53%.
Erivan Pereira and Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov share 1 common opponent: Artiom Damkovsky.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
20-3-0Record15-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
-Reach70"
172 lbsWeight171 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Erivan PereiraZhakshylyk Myrzabekov