Ermil Xhaferi vs Luis Gomez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-1Record11-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReach68"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1584
If they lose-24→ 1536
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ermil XhaferiLuis Gomez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luis Gomez63%
Ermil Xhaferi 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luis Gomez a 63% favorite over Ermil Xhaferi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ermil Xhaferi's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1559), separated by just 1 points.
Ermil Xhaferi finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Luis Gomez 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.