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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ermil Xhaferi vs Samuel Blasco

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

5-2-1Record13-15-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamUnit MMA Zaragoza

What's at stake

Ermil Xhaferi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Samuel Blasco carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ermil XhaferiNow 1560
If they win+19→ 1579
If they lose-29→ 1531
Samuel BlascoNow 1480
If they win+15→ 1495
If they lose-9→ 1471

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Ermil XhaferiSamuel Blasco
1450150015501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
3 (60%)
Submission
8 (62%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Ermil Xhaferi52%
Samuel Blasco 48%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Ermil Xhaferi a 52% favorite over Samuel Blasco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Ermil Xhaferi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1560 to 1480, a 80-point edge.

Ermil Xhaferi finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Samuel Blasco 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.