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CAGE WARRIORS 212 : DEL VALLE VS DUARTE

Samuel Blasco vs Ermil Xhaferi

Nov 7, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass
Pick'em vs the modelWho wins this fight?Make your pick
DateNov 7, 2026
DivisionFight card
StatusScheduled
VenueBBC Studioworks Television Centre
BroadcastUFC Fight Pass
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Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 7, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET)
Sat 1:30 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 10:30 AM
United Kingdom
Sat 6:30 PM
Central Europe
Sat 7:30 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 5:30 AM
Samuel BlascoYan |13-15-1Samuel Blasco vs Ermil XhaferiErmil Xhaferi5-2-1
esSamuel BlascoYan13-15-1Samuel Blasco
Elo1481Average
3Y trend1490 → 1481
2022-11-05: 14902022-12-10: 15112023-03-24: 14972023-05-27: 14842023-09-06: 14662023-10-07: 14562023-11-18: 14782024-03-02: 14652024-06-01: 14792024-07-25: 14692024-10-05: 14842025-03-15: 14732025-05-10: 14882025-06-28: 14892025-09-27: 1481
es

Fight Overview

RoundTBD
TimeTBD
13-15-1Record5-2-1
30Age26
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
Fight cardWeight ClassFight card
alErmil Xhaferi5-2-1alErmil Xhaferi
Elo1560Solid
3Y trend1577 → 1560
2022-04-02: 15772022-09-17: 15982023-05-06: 15682024-03-30: 15912025-03-21: 1560
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Ermil Xhaferi owns a 79-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 2 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Samuel Blasco and Ermil Xhaferi across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Samuel BlascoErmil Xhaferi
1450150015501600202320242025

Recent form

Samuel BlascoL D W L W · +12 Elo last 5
LDWLW
Ermil XhaferiL W L W W · +5 Elo last 5
LWLWW

Elo edge

Samuel Blasco1481-8 last move
Ermil Xhaferi1560-31 last move

Why they are ranked here

Samuel Blasco#433 of 453 active Lightweight fighters · 1481 Elo
Biggest gain
Beat Nathan Jones (rated 1503 at the time): +22.
Costliest loss
Lost to Nathan Jones (rated 1481 at the time): -13.
Last 5 fights
2 wins, 2 losses, +12 Elo in total.
Next places
1 point behind #432 Aaron McDonald, 1 ahead of #434 Dylan Antoine.
Ermil Xhaferi#347 of 453 active Lightweight fighters · 1560 Elo
Biggest gain
Beat Fatih Aydin (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss
Lost to Tariq Pell (rated 1564 at the time): -31.
Last 5 fights
3 wins, 2 losses, +5 Elo in total.
Next places
0 points behind #346 Hussein Fakher, 0 ahead of #348 Geun Hee Kim.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Samuel BlascoNow 1481 · #433 Lightweight
Wins by decision+15→ 1496
Loses by decision-9→ 1472
Ermil XhaferiNow 1560 · #347 Lightweight
Wins by decision+19→ 1579
Loses by decision-29→ 1531
What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

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Stat advantages

Samuel BlascovsErmil Xhaferi

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Samuel Blascosubmission leads 62% of wins
Ermil Xhaferisubmission leads 60% of wins

Common opponents

Adam CullenSamuel Blasco: loss · TKO (Elbows) · Jul 25, 2024Ermil Xhaferi: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jul 25, 2024
Adam CullenSamuel Blasco: loss · TKO (Elbows) · Jul 25, 2024Ermil Xhaferi: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Sep 29, 2023

Tale of the tape

Samuel BlascoErmil Xhaferi

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available
UFC lightweight average : 3.81
Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available
UFC lightweight average : 46%
Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available
UFC lightweight average : 3.91
Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available
UFC lightweight average : 53%
Not availableTakedown averageNot available
UFC lightweight average : 1.67
Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available
UFC lightweight average : 28%
Not availableTakedown defenseNot available
UFC lightweight average : 58%
Not availableSubmission averageNot available
UFC lightweight average : 0.55
3Wins by knockout2
8Wins by submission3
2Wins by decision0
6Losses by knockout2
3Losses by submission0
6Losses by decision0

Samuel Blasco vs Ermil Xhaferi is a scheduled Fight card fight on CAGE WARRIORS 212 : DEL VALLE VS DUARTE. Samuel Blasco enters with a 13-15-1 record and Ermil Xhaferi enters with a 5-2-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Samuel Blasco vs Ermil Xhaferi quick answers

When is Samuel Blasco vs Ermil Xhaferi?

Samuel Blasco vs Ermil Xhaferi is listed for CAGE WARRIORS 212 : DEL VALLE VS DUARTE on Nov 7, 2026 at 1:30 PM EST.

What event is Samuel Blasco vs Ermil Xhaferi on?

Samuel Blasco vs Ermil Xhaferi is listed on CAGE WARRIORS 212 : DEL VALLE VS DUARTE.

What are the records for Samuel Blasco vs Ermil Xhaferi?

Samuel Blasco enters with a 13-15-1 record and Ermil Xhaferi enters with a 5-2-1 record.

What division is Samuel Blasco vs Ermil Xhaferi?

Samuel Blasco vs Ermil Xhaferi is listed as a Fight card fight.

Full fight card
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