Ernesto Rodriguez vs Nikita Leshukov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record10-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
73"Reach-
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamNR Fight· 1577 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ernesto RodriguezNikita Leshukov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ernesto Rodriguez56%
Nikita Leshukov 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ernesto Rodriguez a 56% favorite over Nikita Leshukov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1664), separated by just 1 points.
Nikita Leshukov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ernesto Rodriguez finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Leshukov 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.