Ernesto Rodriguez vs Trevin Giles
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record16-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
73"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamW4R Training Center· 1597 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ernesto RodriguezTrevin Giles
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trevin Giles55%
Ernesto Rodriguez 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Trevin Giles a 55% favorite over Ernesto Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ernesto Rodriguez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1663), separated by just 1 points.
Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ernesto Rodriguez finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Giles 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.