Eryk Anders vs Lucas Fernando
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record14-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"Reach81.5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Lucas Fernando is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Eryk Anders carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1677
If they lose-11→ 1653
If they win+15→ 1702
If they lose-17→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eryk AndersLucas Fernando
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Fernando87%
Eryk Anders 13%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Fernando a 87% favorite over Eryk Anders in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Lucas Fernando holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1664, a 23-point edge.
Lucas Fernando enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Eryk Anders finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Fernando 71%.
Lucas Fernando carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.