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Combat Edge Intelligence

Eslam Abdul Baset vs Riki Fukuda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record24-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
N/AReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Black Bulls TeamTeamGrabaka

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eslam Abdul BasetNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Riki FukudaNow 1670
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.67
Not available
Strike accuracy
46%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.45
Not available
Strike defense
64%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.60
Not available
Takedown accuracy
45%
Not available
Takedown defense
70%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eslam Abdul BasetRiki Fukuda
1650170020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
12 (50%)
3 (19%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (38%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Eslam Abdul Baset59%
Riki Fukuda 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eslam Abdul Baset a 59% favorite over Riki Fukuda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Riki Fukuda's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1670), separated by just 2 points.

Eslam Abdul Baset enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eslam Abdul Baset finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Riki Fukuda 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.