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Combat Edge Intelligence

Esteban Ribovics vs King Green

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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King Green
us

King Green

“King”

36-18-1LightweightUFC

1709Good

Tale of the tape

17-3-0Record36-18-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
69"Reach71″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamPinnacle MMA

What's at stake

Esteban Ribovics is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — King Green carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Esteban RibovicsNow 1762
If they win+14→ 1776
If they lose-18→ 1744
King GreenNow 1709
If they win+14→ 1723
If they lose-10→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1699 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

7.43
Sig. strikes / min
6.49
44%
Strike accuracy
53%
5.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.63
54%
Strike defense
62%
0.32
Takedown avg.
1.32
0%
Takedown accuracy
9%
66%
Takedown defense
72%
0.16
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Esteban RibovicsKing Green
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
13 (36%)
5 (29%)
Submission
10 (28%)
3 (18%)
Decision
13 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Esteban Ribovics72%
King Green 28%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Esteban Ribovics a 72% favorite over King Green in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Esteban Ribovics holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1762 to 1709, a 53-point edge.

Esteban Ribovics enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Esteban Ribovics finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, King Green 64%.

Esteban Ribovics and King Green share 2 common opponents: Daniel Zellhuber and Terrance McKinney.

King Green carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinKO/TKO · 2024
Terrance McKinney
WinTKO · 2026
WinDecision (split) · 2024
Daniel Zellhuber
WinTKO · 2026