Combat Edge Intelligence

Esteban Ribovics vs Renato Moicano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-3-0Record21-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
69"Reach72″
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamFirst Fight Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Esteban RibovicsNow 1746
If they win+16→ 1762
If they lose-16→ 1730
Renato MoicanoNow 1743
If they win+12→ 1755
If they lose-12→ 1731

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.27
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
43%
Strike accuracy
49%
5.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.55
55%
Strike defense
60%
0.35
Takedown avg.
1.68
0%
Takedown accuracy
12%
66%
Takedown defense
64%
0.17
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Esteban RibovicsRenato Moicano
1700175020252026

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (10%)
5 (31%)
Submission
11 (52%)
3 (19%)
Decision
8 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Esteban Ribovics67%
Renato Moicano 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Esteban Ribovics a 67% favorite over Renato Moicano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1746 vs 1743), separated by just 3 points.

Esteban Ribovics finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Renato Moicano 62%.

Renato Moicano carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.