Ethyn Ewing vs Michael McDonald
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record19-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach70,0"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ethyn EwingMichael McDonald
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ethyn Ewing60%
Michael McDonald 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ethyn Ewing a 60% favorite over Michael McDonald in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michael McDonald's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1691), separated by just 4 points.
Ethyn Ewing enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Michael McDonald enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ethyn Ewing finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Michael McDonald 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.