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Combat Edge Intelligence

Evan Elder vs Gamid Khizriev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Evan Elder
us

Evan Elder

“The Phenom”

10-2-0LightweightUFC

1651Good

Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record8-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
72"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nick Diaz Academy· 1688 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamDagestan Fighter

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Evan ElderNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Gamid KhizrievNow 1652
If they win+24→ 1676
If they lose-24→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.66
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
51%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
57%
Strike defense
Not available
0.48
Takedown avg.
Not available
15%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
40%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.48
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Evan ElderGamid Khizriev
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
2 (20%)
Submission
5 (63%)
4 (40%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Gamid Khizriev71%
Evan Elder 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gamid Khizriev a 71% favorite over Evan Elder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1652), separated by just 1 points.

Evan Elder enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Gamid Khizriev enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Evan Elder finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Gamid Khizriev 88%.

Evan Elder carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.