Evan Elder vs Samuel Sanches
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record11-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nick Diaz Academy· 1688 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamGalpao da Luta· 1677 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Samuel Sanches is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Evan Elder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1668
If they lose-15→ 1636
If they win+15→ 1693
If they lose-17→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Evan ElderSamuel Sanches
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Samuel Sanches55%
Evan Elder 45%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Samuel Sanches a 55% favorite over Evan Elder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Samuel Sanches holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1651, a 27-point edge.
Evan Elder enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Samuel Sanches enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Evan Elder finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Samuel Sanches 82%.
Samuel Sanches carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.