Evan Elder vs Vener Galiev
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Evan Elder79%
Vener Galiev 21%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Evan Elder a 79% favorite over Vener Galiev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1668), separated by just 0 points.
Evan Elder enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Vener Galiev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Evan Elder finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Vener Galiev 66%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record38-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nick Diaz Academy· 1694 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamRaty Team· 1674 avg Elo · 14 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
If they win+12→ 1680
If they lose-12→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Evan ElderVener Galiev