Evan Tanner vs Jackson McVey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-8-0Record8-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Hard Knocks KickboxingTeamSt. Charles MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Evan TannerJackson McVey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jackson McVey52%
Evan Tanner 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jackson McVey a 52% favorite over Evan Tanner in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Evan Tanner's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1652), separated by just 0 points.
Jackson McVey enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Evan Tanner finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Jackson McVey 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.