Combat Edge Intelligence

Evan Tanner vs Luis Felipe Dias

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

32-8-0Record18-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Hard Knocks KickboxingTeamParana Vale Tudo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Evan TannerNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
Luis Felipe DiasNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
1.77
59%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
56%
Strike defense
53%
2.55
Takedown avg.
6.24
43%
Takedown accuracy
57%
25%
Takedown defense
67%
1.34
Submission avg.
1.56

Trajectory

Evan TannerLuis Felipe Dias
16001650200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (38%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
17 (53%)
Submission
8 (44%)
3 (9%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Felipe Dias67%
Evan Tanner 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Felipe Dias a 67% favorite over Evan Tanner in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Evan Tanner's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1652), separated by just 0 points.

Luis Felipe Dias enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Evan Tanner finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Luis Felipe Dias 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.