Evgeny Egemberdiev vs Luke Fernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record6-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-Reach76"
209 lbsWeight205 lbs
Arlan MMA Pro TeamTeamDante Rivera BJJ· 1666 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Evgeny EgemberdievLuke Fernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Evgeny Egemberdiev and Luke Fernandez within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1613), separated by just 2 points.
Evgeny Egemberdiev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Evgeny Egemberdiev finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Luke Fernandez 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.