Evgeny Erokhin vs Husein Kushagov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Evgeny Erokhin66%
Husein Kushagov 34%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Evgeny Erokhin a 66% favorite over Husein Kushagov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Evgeny Erokhin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1592, a 44-point edge.
Evgeny Erokhin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Evgeny Erokhin finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Husein Kushagov 50%.
Evgeny Erokhin and Husein Kushagov share 1 common opponent: Sergey Starodub.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
26-14-0Record18-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-Reach-
207 lbsWeight207 lbs
TeamFight Club Akhmat· 1678 avg Elo · 33 rated
What's at stake
Evgeny Erokhin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Husein Kushagov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1646
If they lose-14→ 1622
If they win+14→ 1606
If they lose-10→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Evgeny ErokhinHusein Kushagov