Ezayah Gomez vs Jake Collier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
-Reach78"
248 lbsWeight257 lbs
La Bodega Fitness & Fight ClubTeamPit MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1566
If they lose-24→ 1518
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ezayah GomezJake Collier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ezayah Gomez78%
Jake Collier 22%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ezayah Gomez a 78% favorite over Jake Collier in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jake Collier's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1548), separated by just 6 points.
Ezayah Gomez finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jake Collier 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.