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Combat Edge Intelligence

Fabian Edwards vs Ilian Bouafia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record8-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'5"
79"Reach78"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Renegade· 1737 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamBoxing Squad· 1645 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Fabian Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Ilian Bouafia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Fabian EdwardsNow 1732
If they win+12→ 1744
If they lose-20→ 1712
Ilian BouafiaNow 1639
If they win+30→ 1669
If they lose-18→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1730 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Fabian EdwardsIlian Bouafia
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
3 (19%)
Submission
1 (13%)
7 (44%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Fabian Edwards81%
Ilian Bouafia 19%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Fabian Edwards a 81% favorite over Ilian Bouafia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Fabian Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1732 to 1639, a 93-point edge.

Fabian Edwards finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Ilian Bouafia 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.