Combat Edge Intelligence

Fabricio Camoes vs Jim Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jim Miller
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Jim Miller

“A-10”

39-19-0LightweightUFC

1720Good

Tale of the tape

14-9-1Record39-19-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
39,5"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gracie HumaitaTeamSussex County MMA

What's at stake

Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Fabricio Camoes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Fabricio CamoesNow 1576
If they win+17→ 1593
If they lose-7→ 1569
Jim MillerNow 1720
If they win+7→ 1727
If they lose-17→ 1703

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.29
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
33%
Strike accuracy
42%
1.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.44
61%
Strike defense
57%
2.34
Takedown avg.
1.50
32%
Takedown accuracy
45%
20%
Takedown defense
49%
1.46
Submission avg.
1.70

Trajectory

Fabricio CamoesJim Miller
160016501700175020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
7 (18%)
7 (50%)
Submission
22 (56%)
3 (21%)
Decision
10 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Jim Miller88%
Fabricio Camoes 12%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 88% favorite over Fabricio Camoes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1576, a 144-point edge.

Fabricio Camoes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Fabricio Camoes finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Jim Miller 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.