Combat Edge Intelligence

Fabrício Werdum vs Walt Harris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Walt Harris
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Walt Harris

“The Big Ticket”

13-10-0HeavyweightUFC

1653Good

Tale of the tape

24-10-1Record13-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
45,0"Reach77,0"
246 lbsWeight264 lbs
Werdum Combat TeamTeamSBG Alabama

What's at stake

Fabrício Werdum is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Walt Harris carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Fabrício WerdumNow 1803
If they win+7→ 1810
If they lose-17→ 1786
Walt HarrisNow 1653
If they win+23→ 1676
If they lose-9→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1725 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1707 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.59
Sig. strikes / min
3.05
52%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
56%
Strike defense
55%
1.75
Takedown avg.
0.29
32%
Takedown accuracy
29%
32%
Takedown defense
70%
1.16
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Fabrício WerdumWalt Harris
16501700175018002018201920202021

Win method breakdown

6 (25%)
KO/TKO
13 (100%)
12 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Fabrício Werdum74%
Walt Harris 26%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Fabrício Werdum a 74% favorite over Walt Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Fabrício Werdum holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1803 to 1653, a 150-point edge.

Walt Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Fabrício Werdum finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Walt Harris 100%.

Fabrício Werdum and Walt Harris share 4 common opponents: Aleksei Oleinik, Alexander Volkov, Marcin Tybura and Alistair Overeem.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (4)

WinDEC · 2017
Marcin Tybura
LossTKO · 2021
LossKO/TKO · 2018
Alexander Volkov
LossTKO · 2020
LossDEC · 2017
Alistair Overeem
LossTKO · 2020
LossDecision (split) · 2020
Aleksei Oleinik
WinKO · 2019