Fabrizio Escarrega vs Trevor Peek
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record9-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'9"
-Reach 70"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Victory Fight Club· 1674 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAgoge Combatives· 1618 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fabrizio EscarregaTrevor Peek
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trevor Peek58%
Fabrizio Escarrega 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Peek a 58% favorite over Fabrizio Escarrega in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fabrizio Escarrega's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1633), separated by just 0 points.
Trevor Peek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Fabrizio Escarrega finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Peek 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.