Fares Ziam vs Jai Herbert
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record14-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75″Reach77"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamRenegade Jiu Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fares ZiamJai Herbert
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jai Herbert72%
Fares Ziam 28%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jai Herbert a 72% favorite over Fares Ziam in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fares Ziam's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1690), separated by just 4 points.
Fares Ziam enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jai Herbert enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Fares Ziam finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Jai Herbert 79%.
Jai Herbert carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.