Combat Edge Intelligence

Fares Ziam vs Jamie Mullarkey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Fares Ziam
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Fares Ziam

“Smile Killer”

18-5-0LightweightUFC

1711Good

Tale of the tape

18-5-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
75″Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamBangtao Muay Thai & MMA

What's at stake

Fares Ziam is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Jamie Mullarkey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Fares ZiamNow 1711
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-20→ 1691
Jamie MullarkeyNow 1631
If they win+15→ 1646
If they lose-9→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
4.20
53%
Strike accuracy
47%
1.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.34
65%
Strike defense
55%
1.73
Takedown avg.
2.40
41%
Takedown accuracy
30%
71%
Takedown defense
79%
0.46
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Fares ZiamJamie Mullarkey
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
4 (22%)
Submission
3 (17%)
7 (39%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Fares Ziam74%
Jamie Mullarkey 26%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Fares Ziam a 74% favorite over Jamie Mullarkey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Fares Ziam holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1631, a 80-point edge.

Fares Ziam finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Mullarkey 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.