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Combat Edge Intelligence

Fares Ziam vs Jamie Mullarkey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Fares Ziam
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Fares Ziam

“Smile Killer”

18-6-0LightweightUFC

1694Good

Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
75″Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamBangtao Muay Thai & MMA

What's at stake

Fares Ziam is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jamie Mullarkey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Fares ZiamNow 1694
If they win+13→ 1707
If they lose-19→ 1675
Jamie MullarkeyNow 1631
If they win+14→ 1645
If they lose-10→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
4.20
52%
Strike accuracy
47%
1.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.34
64%
Strike defense
55%
1.86
Takedown avg.
2.40
0%
Takedown accuracy
30%
71%
Takedown defense
79%
0.52
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Fares ZiamJamie Mullarkey
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
4 (22%)
Submission
3 (17%)
7 (39%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Fares Ziam60%
Jamie Mullarkey 40%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Fares Ziam a 60% favorite over Jamie Mullarkey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Fares Ziam holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1694 to 1631, a 63-point edge.

Fares Ziam enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Fares Ziam finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Mullarkey 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.