Faridun Odilov vs Khalid Satuev
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Faridun Odilov53%
Khalid Satuev 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Faridun Odilov a 53% favorite over Khalid Satuev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1740 vs 1738), separated by just 2 points.
Faridun Odilov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Khalid Satuev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Faridun Odilov finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Khalid Satuev 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
22-4-2Record14-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"Reach-
194 lbsWeight172 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1752
If they lose-12→ 1728
If they win+16→ 1754
If they lose-16→ 1722
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Faridun OdilovKhalid Satuev