Combat Edge Intelligence

Farman Hasanov vs Sergio Moraes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sergio Moraes
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Sergio Moraes

“The Panther”

14-7-1WelterweightTaura

1641Solid

Tale of the tape

6-0-0Record14-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"Reach72,0"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renzo Gracie AcademyTeamBrazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Farman HasanovNow 1640
If they win+24→ 1664
If they lose-24→ 1616
Sergio MoraesNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.42
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.20
TBD
Takedown accuracy
39%
TBD
Takedown defense
75%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Farman HasanovSergio Moraes
16001650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (57%)
2 (33%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Farman Hasanov64%
Sergio Moraes 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Farman Hasanov a 64% favorite over Sergio Moraes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sergio Moraes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1641), separated by just 1 points.

Farman Hasanov enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Sergio Moraes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Farman Hasanov finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Moraes 64%.

Farman Hasanov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.