Combat Edge Intelligence

Fedor Duric vs Marc Diakiese

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record18-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-Reach73"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA SpiritTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

Fedor Duric is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Marc Diakiese carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Fedor DuricNow 1681
If they win+14→ 1695
If they lose-18→ 1663
Marc DiakieseNow 1641
If they win+13→ 1654
If they lose-11→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.54
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
Not available
Strike defense
53%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.29
Not available
Takedown accuracy
10%
Not available
Takedown defense
67%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Fedor DuricMarc Diakiese
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
5 (50%)
Submission
1 (6%)
2 (20%)
Decision
11 (61%)

Combat Edge model read

Fedor Duric59%
Marc Diakiese 41%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Fedor Duric a 59% favorite over Marc Diakiese in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Fedor Duric holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1641, a 40-point edge.

Fedor Duric enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Fedor Duric finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Marc Diakiese 39%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.