Fedor Duric vs Marc Diakiese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-Reach73"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA SpiritTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
Fedor Duric is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Marc Diakiese carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1711
If they lose-19→ 1679
If they win+14→ 1644
If they lose-10→ 1620
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fedor DuricMarc Diakiese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fedor Duric63%
Marc Diakiese 37%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Fedor Duric a 63% favorite over Marc Diakiese in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Fedor Duric holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1630, a 68-point edge.
Fedor Duric enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Marc Diakiese enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Fedor Duric finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Marc Diakiese 39%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.