Fedor Duric vs Mark Madsen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-0Record12-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-Reach72"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fedor DuricMark Madsen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fedor Duric61%
Mark Madsen 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Fedor Duric a 61% favorite over Mark Madsen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1696 vs 1694), separated by just 2 points.
Fedor Duric enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Mark Madsen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Fedor Duric finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Mark Madsen 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.