Felice Herrig vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record18-13-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'3"
65"ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team CurranTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Michelle Waterson-Gomez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Felice Herrig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1573
If they lose-15→ 1541
If they win+11→ 1593
If they lose-13→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Felice HerrigMichelle Waterson-Gomez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Felice Herrig and Michelle Waterson-Gomez within a point of even.
Michelle Waterson-Gomez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1582 to 1556, a 26-point edge.
Felice Herrig enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Michelle Waterson-Gomez enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Felice Herrig finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Michelle Waterson-Gomez 67%.
Felice Herrig and Michelle Waterson-Gomez share 1 common opponent: Karolina Kowalkiewicz.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.