Felipe Bunes vs Joshua Van
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-9-0Record17-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
69"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pitbull Brothers· 1624 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeam4oz. Fight Club· 1657 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Joshua Van is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Felipe Bunes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1587
If they lose-6→ 1555
If they win+6→ 1807
If they lose-26→ 1775
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Felipe BunesJoshua Van
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Van92%
Felipe Bunes 8%Elo baseline: 80%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Van a 92% favorite over Felipe Bunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (80%).
Joshua Van holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1801 to 1561, a 240-point edge.
Felipe Bunes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joshua Van enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Felipe Bunes finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Van 65%.
Felipe Bunes and Joshua Van share 1 common opponent: Edgar Cháirez.
Felipe Bunes carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.