Felipe Colares vs Geraldo de Freitas Jr.
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record14-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69"Reach39,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Felipe ColaresGeraldo de Freitas Jr.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Felipe Colares70%
Geraldo de Freitas Jr. 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Colares a 70% favorite over Geraldo de Freitas Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1613), separated by just 4 points.
Geraldo de Freitas Jr. enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Felipe Colares finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Geraldo de Freitas Jr. 79%.
Felipe Colares and Geraldo de Freitas Jr. share 1 common opponent: Chris Gutierrez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.