Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Franco vs Mario Pinto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record12-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'5"
76"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight265 lbs
Galpao da LutaTeamUrban Warriors

What's at stake

Mario Pinto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Felipe Franco carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Felipe FrancoNow 1662
If they win+19→ 1681
If they lose-13→ 1649
Mario PintoNow 1738
If they win+13→ 1751
If they lose-19→ 1719

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
3.39
51%
Strike accuracy
79%
2.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
38%
Strike defense
53%
3.02
Takedown avg.
2.72
0%
Takedown accuracy
60%
88%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
1.81

Trajectory

Felipe FrancoMario Pinto
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
4 (36%)
Submission
1 (8%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Mario Pinto61%
Felipe Franco 39%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Mario Pinto a 61% favorite over Felipe Franco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Mario Pinto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1738 to 1662, a 76-point edge.

Mario Pinto enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Felipe Franco finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mario Pinto 67%.

Mario Pinto carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.