Felipe Franco vs Mario Pinto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record13-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'5"
76"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight265 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1679 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamUrban Warriors
What's at stake
Mario Pinto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Felipe Franco carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1661
If they lose-11→ 1629
If they win+11→ 1771
If they lose-21→ 1739
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Felipe FrancoMario Pinto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mario Pinto69%
Felipe Franco 31%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Mario Pinto a 69% favorite over Felipe Franco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Mario Pinto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1760 to 1640, a 120-point edge.
Mario Pinto enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Felipe Franco finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mario Pinto 69%.
Mario Pinto carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.