Felipe Froes vs Gairbek Dalgatov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Felipe Froes52%
Gairbek Dalgatov 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Froes a 52% favorite over Gairbek Dalgatov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gairbek Dalgatov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1630), separated by just 1 points.
Gairbek Dalgatov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Felipe Froes finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Gairbek Dalgatov 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
27-12-1Record5-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"HeightTBD
-ReachTBD
158 lbsWeight170 lbs
Nova UniaoTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1641
If they lose-12→ 1617
If they win+24→ 1654
If they lose-24→ 1606
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Felipe FroesGairbek Dalgatov