Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Lima vs Morgan Charrière

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Felipe Lima
br

Felipe Lima

“Jungle Boy”

14-2-0BantamweightUFC

1721Good

Tale of the tape

14-2-0Record21-12-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68″Reach69"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1678 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Chapa Quente

What's at stake

Felipe Lima is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Morgan Charrière carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Felipe LimaNow 1721
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-20→ 1701
Morgan CharrièreNow 1643
If they win+15→ 1658
If they lose-9→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.86
Sig. strikes / min
4.02
45%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.51
65%
Strike defense
54%
2.18
Takedown avg.
2.06
5%
Takedown accuracy
0%
86%
Takedown defense
83%
0.73
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Felipe LimaMorgan Charrière
160016501700175020242025

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
13 (62%)
3 (21%)
Submission
3 (14%)
7 (50%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Lima71%
Morgan Charrière 29%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Lima a 71% favorite over Morgan Charrière in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Felipe Lima holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1643, a 78-point edge.

Felipe Lima finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Morgan Charrière 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.