Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Lima vs Muhammad Naimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Felipe Lima
br

Felipe Lima

“Jungle Boy”

14-2-0BantamweightUFC

1716Good

Tale of the tape

14-2-0Record13-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
68″Reach70"
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Felipe Lima is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Muhammad Naimov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Felipe LimaNow 1716
If they win+14→ 1730
If they lose-18→ 1698
Muhammad NaimovNow 1679
If they win+18→ 1697
If they lose-14→ 1665

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.86
Sig. strikes / min
2.61
45%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.45
65%
Strike defense
45%
2.18
Takedown avg.
1.69
27%
Takedown accuracy
36%
86%
Takedown defense
68%
0.73
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Felipe LimaMuhammad Naimov
16501700175020242025

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
3 (21%)
Submission
2 (15%)
7 (50%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Lima62%
Muhammad Naimov 38%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Lima a 62% favorite over Muhammad Naimov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Felipe Lima holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1679, a 37-point edge.

Felipe Lima finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Naimov 62%.

Muhammad Naimov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.