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Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Lima vs Tatsuya Kawajiri

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Felipe Lima
br

Felipe Lima

“Jungle Boy”

15-2-0BantamweightUFC

1734Good

Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record37-14-2
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68″Reach69.00
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamT-Blood

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe LimaNow 1734
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718
Tatsuya KawajiriNow 1734
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.86
Sig. strikes / min
2.04
45%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.01
65%
Strike defense
51%
2.18
Takedown avg.
3.63
5%
Takedown accuracy
49%
86%
Takedown defense
64%
0.73
Submission avg.
1.12

Trajectory

Felipe LimaTatsuya Kawajiri
17502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
12 (33%)
3 (20%)
Submission
10 (28%)
8 (53%)
Decision
14 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Lima54%
Tatsuya Kawajiri 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Lima a 54% favorite over Tatsuya Kawajiri in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1734), separated by just 0 points.

Felipe Lima finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuya Kawajiri 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.