Combat Edge Intelligence

Fernando Padilla vs Humberto Bandenay

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record27-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height5'11"
76"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team OyamaTeamDogo Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fernando PadillaNow 1673
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
Humberto BandenayNow 1675
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-12→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.48
Sig. strikes / min
2.22
42%
Strike accuracy
42%
5.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.79
54%
Strike defense
41%
0
Takedown avg.
2.90
0%
Takedown accuracy
46%
100%
Takedown defense
63%
0.77
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Fernando PadillaHumberto Bandenay
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
10 (37%)
9 (56%)
Submission
11 (41%)
2 (13%)
Decision
6 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Fernando Padilla and Humberto Bandenay within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1673 vs 1675), separated by just 2 points.

Fernando Padilla finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Humberto Bandenay 78%.

Fernando Padilla carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.