Fernie Garcia vs Journey Newson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record10-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
67"Reach67"
145 lbsWeight139 lbs
Fortis MMATeamImpact Jiu Jitsu
What's at stake
Journey Newson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Fernie Garcia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1606
If they lose-15→ 1574
If they win+15→ 1621
If they lose-17→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fernie GarciaJourney Newson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fernie Garcia57%
Journey Newson 43%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Fernie Garcia a 57% favorite over Journey Newson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Journey Newson's way (48%).
Journey Newson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1606 to 1589, a 17-point edge.
Fernie Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Journey Newson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Fernie Garcia finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Journey Newson 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.