Francesco Nuzzi vs Long Xiao
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record27-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'8"
69"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
What's at stake
Long Xiao is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Francesco Nuzzi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1678
If they lose-15→ 1646
If they win+11→ 1689
If they lose-13→ 1665
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francesco NuzziLong Xiao
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Long Xiao54%
Francesco Nuzzi 46%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Long Xiao a 54% favorite over Francesco Nuzzi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Long Xiao holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1661, a 17-point edge.
Long Xiao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Francesco Nuzzi finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Long Xiao 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.