Francesco Nuzzi vs Long Xiao
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record27-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
71"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
What's at stake
Francesco Nuzzi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Long Xiao carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1697
If they lose-17→ 1665
If they win+13→ 1680
If they lose-11→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francesco NuzziLong Xiao
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Long Xiao64%
Francesco Nuzzi 36%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Long Xiao a 64% favorite over Francesco Nuzzi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francesco Nuzzi's way (48%).
Francesco Nuzzi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1667, a 15-point edge.
Francesco Nuzzi enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Long Xiao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Francesco Nuzzi finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Long Xiao 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.