Combat Edge Intelligence

Francis Marshall vs Isaac Dulgarian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record7-2-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
72"Reach 71"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pellegrino Mixed Martial ArtsTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Francis Marshall is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Isaac Dulgarian carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Francis MarshallNow 1654
If they win+15→ 1669
If they lose-17→ 1637
Isaac DulgarianNow 1632
If they win+26→ 1658
If they lose-22→ 1610

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.39
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
33%
Strike accuracy
64%
4.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.82
54%
Strike defense
41%
2.86
Takedown avg.
5.15
45%
Takedown accuracy
53%
67%
Takedown defense
0%
0.61
Submission avg.
2.06

Trajectory

Francis MarshallIsaac Dulgarian
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
5 (50%)
Submission
3 (43%)
4 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Francis Marshall60%
Isaac Dulgarian 40%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Francis Marshall a 60% favorite over Isaac Dulgarian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Francis Marshall holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1632, a 22-point edge.

Francis Marshall enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Francis Marshall finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Isaac Dulgarian 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.