Francis Marshall vs William Gomis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record15-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'0"
72"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pellegrino Mixed Martial ArtsTeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
William Gomis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Francis Marshall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1673
If they lose-14→ 1641
If they win+14→ 1720
If they lose-18→ 1688
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francis MarshallWilliam Gomis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
William Gomis60%
Francis Marshall 40%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes William Gomis a 60% favorite over Francis Marshall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
William Gomis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1655, a 51-point edge.
Francis Marshall enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Francis Marshall finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, William Gomis 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.