Francisco Figueiredo vs Yunus Evloev
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Yunus Evloev54%
Francisco Figueiredo 46%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Yunus Evloev a 54% favorite over Francisco Figueiredo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Yunus Evloev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1668 to 1583, a 85-point edge.
Francisco Figueiredo finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Yunus Evloev 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
14-6-1Record28-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team FigueiredoTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1678 avg Elo · 33 rated
What's at stake
Yunus Evloev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Francisco Figueiredo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1603
If they lose-12→ 1571
If they win+9→ 1677
If they lose-15→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francisco FigueiredoYunus Evloev