Francisco Prado vs Ottman Azaitar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record13-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
69"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamJupps Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1669
If they lose-15→ 1637
If they win+15→ 1679
If they lose-17→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francisco PradoOttman Azaitar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Prado66%
Ottman Azaitar 34%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Prado a 66% favorite over Ottman Azaitar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ottman Azaitar's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1664), separated by just 12 points.
Francisco Prado enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ottman Azaitar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Francisco Prado finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ottman Azaitar 92%.
Ottman Azaitar carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.