Francisco Prado vs Yamato Nishikawa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record21-5-6
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
69"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1671 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamNishikawa Dojo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
If they win+12→ 1685
If they lose-12→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francisco PradoYamato Nishikawa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Prado71%
Yamato Nishikawa 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Prado a 71% favorite over Yamato Nishikawa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yamato Nishikawa's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1673), separated by just 1 points.
Francisco Prado finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yamato Nishikawa 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.