Frank Lester vs Giuliano Nicolas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-8-0Record4-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamOne a One
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1519
If they lose-16→ 1487
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Frank LesterGiuliano Nicolas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Giuliano Nicolas60%
Frank Lester 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Giuliano Nicolas a 60% favorite over Frank Lester in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Frank Lester's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1503 vs 1498), separated by just 5 points.
Giuliano Nicolas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Frank Lester finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Giuliano Nicolas 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.