Combat Edge Intelligence

Frank Lester vs Joshua Onwordi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Frank Lester
us

Frank Lester

“The Tank”

10-8-0WelterweightSCL

1503Average

Tale of the tape

10-8-0Record7-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamBKK Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Frank LesterNow 1503
If they win+16→ 1519
If they lose-16→ 1487
Joshua OnwordiNow 1502
If they win+16→ 1518
If they lose-16→ 1486

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Frank LesterJoshua Onwordi
1450150020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (40%)
Submission
2 (29%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Frank Lester and Joshua Onwordi within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1503 vs 1502), separated by just 1 points.

Frank Lester finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Onwordi 29%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.